Today / Finland - Ykkonen / Tampere United vs TPV

Tampere United vs TPV Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Tampere United

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

TPV

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 69.9% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.1%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.9%1-16.0%1-22.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.1%2-18.4%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.4%3-17.9%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.5%4+-111.0%4+-24.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.9% 76.9% 1.30 -9.1%

Draw 17.0% 20.8% 4.80 -11.0%

Away win 13.1% 14.3% 7.00 -5.0%

Over 2.5 67.3% 75.2% 1.33 -10.5%

Over 3.5 43.0% 54.6% 1.83 -21.3%

BTTS 54.5% 63.7% 1.57 -14.4%

Home O1.5 68.0% 78.1% 1.28 -13.0%

Away O1.5 17.2% 28.6% 3.50 -23.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.5%

H 70% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.1%

#2 3–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tampere United2.8

TPV0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TAMPERE UNITED · PPG 1.89

TPV · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.05 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tampere United (H) 69.9%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -9.1%

Draw 17.0%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -11.0%

TPV (A) 13.1%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV -5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampere United face TPV in Finland - Ykkonen on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampere United a 70% chance, the draw 17% and TPV 13%, so Tampere United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Tampere United and 0.8 for TPV (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampere United are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.44 for TPV.

Tampere United vs TPV Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkonen Predictions