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Kokand-1912 vs Lokomotiv Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Kokand-1912

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lokomotiv

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.34, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-111.9%0-28.4%0-33.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.0%1-112.7%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.8%2-16.7%2-24.7%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.7%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 59%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 11.9%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kokand-19121.1

Lokomotiv1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOKAND-1912 · PPG 1.14

LOKOMOTIV · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.34, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kokand-1912 (H) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lokomotiv (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kokand-1912 face Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan - Super League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kokand-1912 a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Lokomotiv 42%, so Lokomotiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kokand-1912 and 1.4 for Lokomotiv (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kokand-1912 are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.25 for Lokomotiv.

Kokand-1912 vs Lokomotiv Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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