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Andijan vs Neftchi Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 14:00

Andijan

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Neftchi

PPG 2.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-118.4%0-213.7%0-36.7%0-4+3.5%1 1-07.5%1-111.1%1-28.2%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-02.3%2-13.3%2-22.5%2-31.2%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.5%3-10.7%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.7% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 57.3% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 46.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 45.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob46.1%

A 57% / xG 0.6-1.5 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.4%

#2 0–0 12.4%

#3 0–2 13.7%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Andijan0.6

Neftchi1.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.62

NEFTCHI · PPG 2.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Andijan (H) 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Neftchi (A) 57.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Andijan face Neftchi in Uzbekistan - Super League on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andijan a 16% chance, the draw 27% and Neftchi 57%, so Neftchi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Andijan and 1.5 for Neftchi (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andijan are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 2.43 for Neftchi.

Andijan vs Neftchi Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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