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Zhenys vs Zhetysu Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Zhenys

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Zhetysu

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-18.3%0-23.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.1%1-112.3%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.1%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.2%3-14.5%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 50.2% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 22.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 25.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.2%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 2–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zhenys1.5

Zhetysu0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ZHENYS · PPG 1.40

ZHETYSU · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zhenys (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zhetysu (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zhenys face Zhetysu in Kazakhstan - Premier League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zhenys a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Zhetysu 23%, so Zhenys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Zhenys and 0.9 for Zhetysu (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zhenys are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.91 for Zhetysu.

Zhenys vs Zhetysu Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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