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Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Kairat Almaty

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ulytau

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.61 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-13.6%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.3%1-17.4%1-21.6%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.6%2-17.6%2-21.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.0%3-15.1%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-14.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.6% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 8.0% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.1% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 57.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 25.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 71% / xG 2.0-0.4 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.6%

#2 1–0 17.3%

#3 3–0 12.0%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 1–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kairat Almaty2.0

Ulytau0.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KAIRAT ALMATY · PPG 2.33

ULYTAU · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.61 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kairat Almaty (H) 70.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ulytau (A) 8.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kairat Almaty face Ulytau in Kazakhstan - Premier League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kairat Almaty a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Ulytau 8%, so Kairat Almaty are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kairat Almaty and 0.4 for Ulytau (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kairat Almaty are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.80 for Ulytau.

Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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