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Askøy vs Sogndal II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 16:00

Askøy

PPG 2.43 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sogndal II

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.3%0-22.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.9%1-19.0%1-26.0%1-32.6%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.1%3-16.7%3-24.4%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-15.7%4+-23.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.3% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 42.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.3%

H 50% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Askøy2.1

Sogndal II1.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ASKØY · PPG 2.43

SOGNDAL II · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Askøy (H) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sogndal II (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Askøy face Sogndal II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Askøy a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Sogndal II 28%, so Askøy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Askøy and 1.3 for Sogndal II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Askøy are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.86 for Sogndal II. This match finished 0-0.

Askøy vs Sogndal II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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