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Førde vs Brann II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Førde

PPG 1.86 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Brann II

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.9%0-24.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.9%1-19.9%1-28.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.8%2 2-05.0%2-18.3%2-26.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.8%3-14.6%3-23.8%3-32.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.8%4+-22.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.5% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.7% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.3%

H 44% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–0 3.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Førde1.7

Brann II1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FØRDE · PPG 1.86

BRANN II · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Førde (H) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brann II (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Førde face Brann II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Førde a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Brann II 34%, so Førde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Førde and 1.7 for Brann II (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Førde are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.29 for Brann II. This match finished 7-0.

Førde vs Brann II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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