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Os vs Stord Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

PPG 3.00 · HOME

8 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stord

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.5%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.7%1-12.2%1-21.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.3%2 2-03.6%2-14.6%2-23.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.0%3-16.5%3-24.2%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-016.5%4+-121.5%4+-214.0%4+-36.1%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.1% — — —

Draw 15.5% — — —

Away win 14.4% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 59.0% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 39.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-2

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.3%

H 70% / xG 4.2-1.3 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.9%

#2 3–1 6.5%

#3 5–1 5.8%

#4 4–0 5.3%

#5 3–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Os4.2

Stord1.3

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OS · PPG 3.00

STORD · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.92 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Os (H) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stord (A) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Os face Stord in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Os a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Stord 14%, so Os are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Os and 1.3 for Stord (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Os are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.57 for Stord. This match finished 8-2.

Os vs Stord Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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