Today / South-Korea - WK-League / Changnyeong W vs Incheon Red Angels W

Changnyeong W vs Incheon Red Angels W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 10:00

Changnyeong W

PPG 0.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Incheon Red Angels W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-110.9%0-29.5%0-35.5%0-4+3.6%1 1-06.4%1-111.2%1-29.8%1-35.7%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.3%2-15.8%2-25.0%2-32.9%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.1%3-12.0%3-21.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 46.4% — — —

Over 2.5 54.1% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.5%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Changnyeong W1.0

Incheon Red Angels W1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CHANGNYEONG W · PPG 0.14

INCHEON RED ANGELS W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Changnyeong W (H) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Incheon Red Angels W (A) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Changnyeong W face Incheon Red Angels W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Changnyeong W a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Incheon Red Angels W 46%, so Incheon Red Angels W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Changnyeong W and 1.7 for Incheon Red Angels W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Changnyeong W are averaging 0.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Incheon Red Angels W.

Changnyeong W vs Incheon Red Angels W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

More South-Korea - WK-League Predictions