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Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United Prediction— Australia - South Australia State League 1

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:30

Adelaide Blue Eagles

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eastern United

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 1.90 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-13.2%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.6%1-17.7%1-23.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-19.4%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.4%3-17.6%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-18.1%4+-23.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.8% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 14.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.9% — — —

Over 3.5 37.2% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 65% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%

#2 3–0 9.4%

#3 2–1 9.4%

#4 1–1 7.7%

#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Adelaide Blue Eagles2.4

Eastern United0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ADELAIDE BLUE EAGLES · PPG 1.90

EASTERN UNITED · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 1.90 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Adelaide Blue Eagles (H) 64.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eastern United (A) 14.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Adelaide Blue Eagles face Eastern United in Australia - South Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adelaide Blue Eagles a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Eastern United 15%, so Adelaide Blue Eagles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Adelaide Blue Eagles and 0.8 for Eastern United (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adelaide Blue Eagles are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.80 for Eastern United.

Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United Prediction— Australia - South Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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