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Fulham United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles Prediction— Australia - South Australia State League 1

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 05:30

Fulham United

PPG 1.70 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Adelaide Blue Eagles

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.7%0-22.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.2%1-18.3%1-25.5%1-32.5%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-19.4%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.3%3-17.0%3-24.7%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-16.7%4+-24.5%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% 47.6% 2.10 +12.6%

Draw 22.3% 30.3% 3.30 -15.8%

Away win 24.0% 35.7% 2.80 -19.7%

Over 2.5 65.2% 62.5% 1.60 +4.3%

Over 3.5 43.5% 41.0% 2.44 +6.1%

BTTS 64.3% 66.7% 1.50 -3.5%

Home O1.5 62.4% 54.3% 1.84 +14.8%

Away O1.5 43.7% 45.5% 2.20 -3.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.3%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fulham United2.3

Adelaide Blue Eagles1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FULHAM UNITED · PPG 1.70

ADELAIDE BLUE EAGLES · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fulham United (H) 53.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +12.6%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.8%

Adelaide Blue Eagles (A) 24.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -19.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fulham United face Adelaide Blue Eagles in Australia - South Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fulham United a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Adelaide Blue Eagles 24%, so Fulham United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Fulham United and 1.3 for Adelaide Blue Eagles (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fulham United are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.30 for Adelaide Blue Eagles. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +23.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Fulham United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles Prediction— Australia - South Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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