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Joondalup City vs Curtin University Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Joondalup City

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Curtin University

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.86 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-16.1%0-22.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.7%1-110.9%1-25.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.5%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.3%3-15.9%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-14.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 23.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 26.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 25.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Joondalup City1.8

Curtin University0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JOONDALUP CITY · PPG 1.67

CURTIN UNIVERSITY · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.86 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Joondalup City (H) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Curtin University (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Joondalup City face Curtin University in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Joondalup City a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Curtin University 24%, so Joondalup City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Joondalup City and 0.9 for Curtin University (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Joondalup City are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.20 for Curtin University.

Joondalup City vs Curtin University Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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