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Kingsley Westside vs Murdoch Melville Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Kingsley Westside

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Murdoch Melville

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.7%0-22.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.7%1-18.5%1-25.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.6%2-19.5%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.7%3-17.2%3-24.5%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-16.9%4+-24.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 23.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.5% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 25.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kingsley Westside2.3

Murdoch Melville1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.5% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KINGSLEY WESTSIDE · PPG 1.78

MURDOCH MELVILLE · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kingsley Westside (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Murdoch Melville (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kingsley Westside face Murdoch Melville in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kingsley Westside a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Murdoch Melville 24%, so Kingsley Westside are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Kingsley Westside and 1.3 for Murdoch Melville (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kingsley Westside are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.78 for Murdoch Melville.

Kingsley Westside vs Murdoch Melville Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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