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Mandurah City vs Quinns FC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 07:00

Mandurah City

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Quinns FC

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.6%0-21.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.7%1-16.7%1-24.7%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.1%2-18.7%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.3%3-17.5%3-25.3%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-18.9%4+-26.3%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.1% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.3% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 25.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.3%

H 58% / xG 2.6-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mandurah City2.6

Quinns FC1.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MANDURAH CITY · PPG 1.67

QUINNS FC · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.17 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mandurah City (H) 58.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Quinns FC (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mandurah City face Quinns FC in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mandurah City a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Quinns FC 21%, so Mandurah City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Mandurah City and 1.4 for Quinns FC (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mandurah City are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.40 for Quinns FC. This match finished 0-1.

Mandurah City vs Quinns FC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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