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Kingsley Westside vs Gwelup Croatia Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 05:00

Kingsley Westside

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gwelup Croatia

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.3%0-22.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.9%1-19.1%1-25.3%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.0%3-17.0%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-16.2%4+-23.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 61.6% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 25.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.8%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.0%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kingsley Westside2.1

Gwelup Croatia1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KINGSLEY WESTSIDE · PPG 1.78

GWELUP CROATIA · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kingsley Westside (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gwelup Croatia (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kingsley Westside face Gwelup Croatia in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kingsley Westside a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Gwelup Croatia 24%, so Kingsley Westside are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Kingsley Westside and 1.2 for Gwelup Croatia (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kingsley Westside are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.11 for Gwelup Croatia.

Kingsley Westside vs Gwelup Croatia Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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