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Cockburn City vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Cockburn City

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inglewood United

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-19.5%0-26.0%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.9%1-112.6%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.6%2-18.3%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.9%3-13.7%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 34.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.6% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 25.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.5%

H 39% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cockburn City1.3

Inglewood United1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

COCKBURN CITY · PPG 1.10

INGLEWOOD UNITED · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cockburn City (H) 39.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inglewood United (A) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cockburn City face Inglewood United in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cockburn City a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Inglewood United 34%, so Cockburn City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cockburn City and 1.3 for Inglewood United (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cockburn City are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.22 for Inglewood United.

Cockburn City vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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