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Broadbeach United vs Ipswich Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 06:15

Broadbeach United logo
Broadbeach United
PPG 2.60 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Ipswich logo
Ipswich
PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.29 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.0%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-18.9%1-24.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.8%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.9%3-17.2%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-16.7%4+-23.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 57.4%
Draw 21.5%
Away win 21.2%
Over 2.5 59.5%
Over 3.5 36.5%
BTTS 53.9%
Home O1.5 63.0%
Away O1.5 24.8%

League track record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 22.3%
Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.9%

H 57% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%
#2 1–1 8.9%
#3 2–1 9.8%
#4 1–0 9.7%
#5 3–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadbeach United2.2
Ipswich0.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADBEACH UNITED · PPG 2.60

IPSWICH · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.29 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Broadbeach United (H) 57.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ipswich (A) 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadbeach United face Ipswich in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadbeach United a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Ipswich 21%, so Broadbeach United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Broadbeach United and 0.9 for Ipswich (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadbeach United are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.60 for Ipswich.

PredictVantage

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