Today / Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship / New Town vs University of Tasmania
New Town vs University of Tasmania Prediction— Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship
Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 04:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 77% / xG 4.4-1.1 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%
Form & verdict
NEW TOWN · PPG 1.57
UNIVERSITY OF TASMANIA · PPG 0.86
xG gap +3.31 for Home, form 1.57 vs 0.86 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
New Town face University of Tasmania in Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New Town a 77% chance, the draw 16% and University of Tasmania 8%, so New Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for New Town and 1.1 for University of Tasmania (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New Town are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.86 for University of Tasmania.