Today / Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship / Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City

Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City Prediction— Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 04:30

Olympia Warriors

PPG 2.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hobart City

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.3%0-21.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.5%1-15.9%1-25.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.6%2-17.8%2-26.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.3%3 3-04.0%3-16.8%3-25.8%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-18.4%4+-27.1%4+-34.0%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.6% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 23.8% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.4%

H 56% / xG 2.6-1.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 5.9%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympia Warriors2.6

Hobart City1.7

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIA WARRIORS · PPG 2.57

HOBART CITY · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olympia Warriors (H) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hobart City (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympia Warriors face Hobart City in Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympia Warriors a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Hobart City 24%, so Olympia Warriors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Olympia Warriors and 1.7 for Hobart City (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympia Warriors are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.29 for Hobart City.

Olympia Warriors vs Hobart City Prediction— Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship Predictions