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Olympia Warriors vs Clarence Zebras II Prediction— Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 10:15

Olympia Warriors

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Clarence Zebras II

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.8%0-21.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.2%1-15.2%1-24.1%1-32.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.7%2-17.5%2-26.0%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.6%3-17.3%3-25.8%3-33.1%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-110.8%4+-28.5%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.1% — — —

Draw 17.1% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 74.4% — — —

Over 3.5 54.1% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.6%

H 61% / xG 2.9-1.6 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 3–1 7.3%

#3 2–2 6.0%

#4 1–1 5.2%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympia Warriors2.9

Clarence Zebras II1.6

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIA WARRIORS · PPG 2.50

CLARENCE ZEBRAS II · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olympia Warriors (H) 61.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Clarence Zebras II (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympia Warriors face Clarence Zebras II in Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympia Warriors a 61% chance, the draw 17% and Clarence Zebras II 22%, so Olympia Warriors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Olympia Warriors and 1.6 for Clarence Zebras II (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympia Warriors are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.71 for Clarence Zebras II.

Olympia Warriors vs Clarence Zebras II Prediction— Australia - Tasmania Southern Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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