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Dallas T. W vs Carolina A. W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 21:00

Dallas T. W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Carolina A. W

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-113.0%0-29.6%0-34.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.4%1-112.4%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.0%2-15.9%2-24.3%2-32.1%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.3%3-11.9%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.3% 30.8% 3.25 -21.0%

Draw 26.3% 34.5% 2.90 -23.7%

Away win 49.3% 47.6% 2.10 +3.5%

Over 2.5 43.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 47.3% 54.6% 1.83 -13.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 52.9%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob47.3%

A 49% / xG 1.0-1.5 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 13.0%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dallas T. W1.0

Carolina A. W1.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DALLAS T. W · PPG 1.50

CAROLINA A. W · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.91)

Win probability 1X2

Dallas T. W (H) 24.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -21.0%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -23.7%

Carolina A. W (A) 49.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dallas T. W face Carolina A. W in USA - USL Super League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dallas T. W a 24% chance, the draw 26% and Carolina A. W 49%, so Carolina A. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dallas T. W and 1.5 for Carolina A. W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dallas T. W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.91 for Carolina A. W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Dallas T. W vs Carolina A. W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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