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Oeste U20 vs União São João U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 22:00

Oeste U20

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

União São João U20

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.6%0-19.1%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.1%1-112.0%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-18.0%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.3%3-13.6%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 40.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.5%

H 51% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.1%

#2 0–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.0%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oeste U201.3

União São João U200.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OESTE U20 · PPG 1.60

UNIÃO SÃO JOÃO U20 · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Oeste U20 (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

União São João U20 (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oeste U20 face União São João U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oeste U20 a 51% chance, the draw 27% and União São João U20 22%, so Oeste U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Oeste U20 and 0.7 for União São João U20 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oeste U20 are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.80 for União São João U20.

Oeste U20 vs União São João U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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