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Palmeiras U20 vs XV de Jaú U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Palmeiras U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

XV de Jaú U20

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-11.9%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.4%1-15.4%1-21.6%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.3%2-17.7%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.5%3-17.2%3-22.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-017.6%4+-110.1%4+-22.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.3% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 70.4% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 68% / xG 2.8-0.6 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.3%

#2 3–0 12.5%

#3 4–0 8.8%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Palmeiras U202.8

XV de Jaú U200.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PALMEIRAS U20 · PPG 2.00

XV DE JAÚ U20 · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Palmeiras U20 (H) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

XV de Jaú U20 (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Palmeiras U20 face XV de Jaú U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Palmeiras U20 a 68% chance, the draw 17% and XV de Jaú U20 15%, so Palmeiras U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Palmeiras U20 and 0.6 for XV de Jaú U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Palmeiras U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.80 for XV de Jaú U20.

Palmeiras U20 vs XV de Jaú U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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