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Ferroviária U20 vs União Suzano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Ferroviária U20

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

União Suzano U20

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.67 for Home, form 1.88 vs 1.02 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-13.3%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.1%1-17.7%1-22.7%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-19.1%2-23.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.3%3-17.2%3-22.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.6%4+-17.4%4+-22.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.3% — — —

Draw 17.4% — — —

Away win 13.2% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.0%

H 69% / xG 2.4-0.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.1%

#2 3–0 10.3%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferroviária U202.4

União Suzano U200.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FERROVIÁRIA U20 · PPG 1.88

UNIÃO SUZANO U20 · PPG 1.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.67 for Home, form 1.88 vs 1.02 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ferroviária U20 (H) 69.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

União Suzano U20 (A) 13.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferroviária U20 face União Suzano U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferroviária U20 a 69% chance, the draw 17% and União Suzano U20 13%, so Ferroviária U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Ferroviária U20 and 0.7 for União Suzano U20 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferroviária U20 are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.02 for União Suzano U20.

Ferroviária U20 vs União Suzano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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