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Juventus U20 vs Ponte Preta U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Juventus U20

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ponte Preta U20

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.3%0-21.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.7%1-18.0%1-24.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.3%2-19.6%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.4%3-17.7%3-24.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-18.1%4+-24.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.2% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 21.2% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 61.2% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.2%

H 58% / xG 2.4-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.6%

#2 2–0 9.3%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 3–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventus U202.4

Ponte Preta U201.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.83

PONTE PRETA U20 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.36 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Juventus U20 (H) 58.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ponte Preta U20 (A) 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventus U20 face Ponte Preta U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventus U20 a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Ponte Preta U20 21%, so Juventus U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Juventus U20 and 1.0 for Ponte Preta U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventus U20 are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Ponte Preta U20.

Juventus U20 vs Ponte Preta U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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