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Ituano U20 vs Porto Football U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Ituano U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Porto Football U20

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-19.1%0-22.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.2%1-111.5%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.7%2-17.3%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.4%3-13.1%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 37.5% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.2%

#2 0–0 16.0%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 12.7%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ituano U201.3

Porto Football U200.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ITUANO U20 · PPG 1.00

PORTO FOOTBALL U20 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ituano U20 (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Porto Football U20 (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ituano U20 face Porto Football U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ituano U20 a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Porto Football U20 23%, so Ituano U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ituano U20 and 0.6 for Porto Football U20 (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ituano U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Porto Football U20.

Ituano U20 vs Porto Football U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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