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Mauá U20 vs Osasco Audax U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Mauá U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Osasco Audax U20

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-118.6%0-29.5%0-33.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.4%1-112.7%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.2%2-14.3%2-22.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 36.7% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 45.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 31.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.1%

A 41% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 0–1 18.6%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mauá U200.7

Osasco Audax U201.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MAUÁ U20 · PPG 1.00

OSASCO AUDAX U20 · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.34, combined xG 1.70 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Mauá U20 (H) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Osasco Audax U20 (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mauá U20 face Osasco Audax U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mauá U20 a 26% chance, the draw 33% and Osasco Audax U20 41%, so Osasco Audax U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Mauá U20 and 1.0 for Osasco Audax U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mauá U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Osasco Audax U20.

Mauá U20 vs Osasco Audax U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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