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Jabaquara U20 vs Corinthians U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Jabaquara U20

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

Corinthians U20

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-116.1%0-210.7%0-34.8%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.5%1-112.6%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.7%2-14.9%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.0%3-11.3%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 46.3% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.7%

A 46% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 16.1%

#3 0–0 12.1%

#4 0–2 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jabaquara U200.8

Corinthians U201.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JABAQUARA U20 · PPG 1.48

CORINTHIANS U20 · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.55 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Jabaquara U20 (H) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Corinthians U20 (A) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jabaquara U20 face Corinthians U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jabaquara U20 a 25% chance, the draw 29% and Corinthians U20 46%, so Corinthians U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Jabaquara U20 and 1.3 for Corinthians U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jabaquara U20 are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.88 for Corinthians U20.

Jabaquara U20 vs Corinthians U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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