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Gualaceo SC vs Ind. Juniors Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 20:30

Gualaceo SC

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ind. Juniors

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.7%0-114.0%0-23.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.9%1-110.6%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.3%2-14.1%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.1%3-11.0%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% — — —

Draw 36.8% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 27.6% — — —

Over 3.5 11.9% — — —

BTTS 33.3% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob33.3%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.5 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.7%

#2 1–0 21.9%

#3 0–1 14.0%

#4 1–1 10.6%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gualaceo SC0.8

Ind. Juniors0.5

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GUALACEO SC · PPG 1.89

IND. JUNIORS · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.28, combined xG 1.25 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gualaceo SC (H) 39.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ind. Juniors (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gualaceo SC face Ind. Juniors in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gualaceo SC a 40% chance, the draw 37% and Ind. Juniors 23%, so Gualaceo SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gualaceo SC and 0.5 for Ind. Juniors (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gualaceo SC are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.33 for Ind. Juniors.

Gualaceo SC vs Ind. Juniors Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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