Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Colorado Rapids II vs St. Louis City II

Colorado Rapids II vs St. Louis City II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 01:00

Colorado Rapids II

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

St. Louis City II

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-110.0%0-27.6%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.9%1-112.0%1-29.1%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.8%2-17.2%2-25.5%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.9%3-12.9%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 29.0% 3.45 +29.7%

Draw 25.7% 27.0% 3.70 -2.9%

Away win 36.6% 55.6% 1.80 -34.1%

Over 2.5 53.5% 62.5% 1.60 -14.4%

Over 3.5 32.3% 48.8% 2.05 -33.8%

BTTS 54.6% 69.4% 1.44 -21.4%

Home O1.5 33.9% 45.5% 2.20 -25.4%

Away O1.5 48.1% 56.8% 1.76 -15.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 28.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.6%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.6%

#4 0–1 10.0%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colorado Rapids II1.2

St. Louis City II1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

COLORADO RAPIDS II · PPG 0.80

ST. LOUIS CITY II · PPG 1.20

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Colorado Rapids II (H) 37.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +29.7%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -2.9%

St. Louis City II (A) 36.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -34.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colorado Rapids II face St. Louis City II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colorado Rapids II a 38% chance, the draw 26% and St. Louis City II 37%, so Colorado Rapids II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Colorado Rapids II and 1.5 for St. Louis City II (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colorado Rapids II are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.20 for St. Louis City II. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +16.2%.

Colorado Rapids II vs St. Louis City II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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