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São Paulo U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

São Paulo U20

PPG 2.13 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ibrachina U20

PPG 2.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-19.4%0-25.0%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.0%1-112.8%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.2%2-18.7%2-24.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.7%3-14.0%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

São Paulo U201.4

Ibrachina U201.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SÃO PAULO U20 · PPG 2.13

IBRACHINA U20 · PPG 2.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

São Paulo U20 (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ibrachina U20 (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

São Paulo U20 face Ibrachina U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives São Paulo U20 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Ibrachina U20 29%, so São Paulo U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for São Paulo U20 and 1.1 for Ibrachina U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, São Paulo U20 are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 2.31 for Ibrachina U20.

São Paulo U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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