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São Bento U20 vs Portuguesa U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

São Bento U20

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Portuguesa U20

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-18.1%0-26.7%0-33.7%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.7%1-111.0%1-29.1%1-35.0%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.6%2-17.5%2-26.2%2-33.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.1%3-13.4%3-22.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 40.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.6%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

São Bento U201.4

Portuguesa U201.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SÃO BENTO U20 · PPG 1.43

PORTUGUESA U20 · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

São Bento U20 (H) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portuguesa U20 (A) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

São Bento U20 face Portuguesa U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives São Bento U20 a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Portuguesa U20 41%, so Portuguesa U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for São Bento U20 and 1.7 for Portuguesa U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, São Bento U20 are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.83 for Portuguesa U20.

São Bento U20 vs Portuguesa U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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