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Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 12 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Santo André U20

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

XV de Piracicaba U20

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.20, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.1%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.9%1-113.0%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.7%2-18.4%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 34.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 45% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santo André U201.3

XV de Piracicaba U201.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTO ANDRÉ U20 · PPG 1.83

XV DE PIRACICABA U20 · PPG 1.26

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.20, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Santo André U20 (H) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

XV de Piracicaba U20 (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santo André U20 face XV de Piracicaba U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santo André U20 a 45% chance, the draw 27% and XV de Piracicaba U20 29%, so Santo André U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Santo André U20 and 1.1 for XV de Piracicaba U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santo André U20 are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.26 for XV de Piracicaba U20.

Santo André U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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