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Lujan vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 23 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 18:00

Lujan

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-110.6%0-23.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.8%1-112.1%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.3%2-16.9%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-12.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 20.5% — — —

Over 2.5 36.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–0 19.8%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lujan1.1

Central Cordoba0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LUJAN · PPG 1.64

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lujan (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Cordoba (A) 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lujan face Central Cordoba in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lujan a 48% chance, the draw 31% and Central Cordoba 21%, so Lujan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lujan and 0.6 for Central Cordoba (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lujan are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.18 for Central Cordoba. This match finished 1-2.

Lujan vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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