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Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Sunday, August 9, 2026, 18:00

Sacachispas

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Paraguayo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-16.0%0-21.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.6%1-19.7%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.8%2-17.8%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.5%3-14.2%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-12.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 42.9% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.5% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.5%

H 53% / xG 1.6-0.5 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.6%

#2 2–0 15.8%

#3 0–0 12.1%

#4 1–1 9.7%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sacachispas1.6

Deportivo Paraguayo0.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SACACHISPAS · PPG 2.00

DEPORTIVO PARAGUAYO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sacachispas (H) 53.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Paraguayo (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sacachispas face Deportivo Paraguayo in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sacachispas a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Deportivo Paraguayo 21%, so Sacachispas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sacachispas and 0.5 for Deportivo Paraguayo (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sacachispas are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Deportivo Paraguayo.

Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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