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Ecuador - Liga Pro
Regular Season - 9
Estadio Banco Guayaquil· Quito
Sunday, April 19, 2026
20:30
I. del Valle
PPG 2.50
0-2
MISS
LDU Quito
PPG 1.50
Over3.5· +70.6%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
87.3%
Odds: 1.90
EV: +65.9%
Draw
8.9%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -69.3%
Away
3.8%
Odds: 3.95
EV: -85.0%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
73.0%
Odds: 1.90
+38.7%
Over 3.5
52.5%
Odds: 3.25
+70.6%
BTTS
42.4%
Odds: 1.70
-27.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
3-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
4-0
✘
4th
3-1
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
I. del Valle
3.21
LDU Quito
0.58
Model Suggestion
Home
+65.9%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+70.6%)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus