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WSPG Wels vs Rapid Wien II Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 16:30

WSPG Wels

PPG 1.21 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rapid Wien II

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.8%0-25.3%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.4%1-112.4%1-27.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.3%2-18.8%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.4%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 46.5% 2.15 -4.5%

Draw 26.5% 27.4% 3.65 -2.0%

Away win 29.1% 34.5% 2.90 -9.4%

Over 2.5 53.3% 62.5% 1.60 -14.7%

Over 3.5 31.2% 39.2% 2.55 -20.4%

BTTS 54.5% 66.7% 1.50 -18.3%

Home O1.5 45.1% 54.1% 1.85 -16.6%

Away O1.5 36.2% 44.4% 2.25 -18.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.5%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.3%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WSPG Wels1.4

Rapid Wien II1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WSPG WELS · PPG 1.21

RAPID WIEN II · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

WSPG Wels (H) 44.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -4.5%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -2.0%

Rapid Wien II (A) 29.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

WSPG Wels face Rapid Wien II in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WSPG Wels a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Rapid Wien II 29%, so WSPG Wels are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for WSPG Wels and 1.2 for Rapid Wien II (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WSPG Wels are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.52 for Rapid Wien II.

WSPG Wels vs Rapid Wien II Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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