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SKU Amstetten vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 08:30

SKU Amstetten

PPG 1.64 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Admira Wacker

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-110.8%0-25.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.2%1-113.2%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.0%2-18.1%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.3%3-13.3%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% 45.5% 2.20 -1.9%

Draw 27.1% 28.6% 3.50 -3.1%

Away win 28.3% 34.7% 2.88 -11.1%

Over 2.5 45.9% 57.8% 1.73 -20.6%

Over 3.5 27.6% 35.1% 2.85 -12.8%

BTTS 51.5% 63.7% 1.57 -19.1%

Home O1.5 34.0% 50.0% 2.00 -32.0%

Away O1.5 31.2% 41.7% 2.40 -25.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.8%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 0–1 10.8%

#5 2–1✓ 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SKU Amstetten1.2

Admira Wacker1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SKU AMSTETTEN · PPG 1.64

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SKU Amstetten (H) 44.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.9%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.1%

Admira Wacker (A) 28.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

SKU Amstetten face Admira Wacker in Austria - 2. Liga on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SKU Amstetten a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Admira Wacker 28%, so SKU Amstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SKU Amstetten and 1.0 for Admira Wacker (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SKU Amstetten are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.48 for Admira Wacker. This match finished 2-1.

SKU Amstetten vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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