Today / Austria - 2. Liga / SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Vienna (Am)

SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Vienna (Am) Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 16:30

SKN ST. Polten

PPG 2.04 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austria Vienna (Am)

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-17.1%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.6%1-111.5%1-24.5%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.8%2-19.3%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.4%3-15.0%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-12.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 21.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 47.5% — — —

Away O1.5 19.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 51%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.6%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 14.6%

#3 2–0 11.8%

#4 0–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SKN ST. Polten1.6

Austria Vienna (Am)0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SKN ST. POLTEN · PPG 2.04

AUSTRIA VIENNA (AM) · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SKN ST. Polten (H) 54.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austria Vienna (Am) (A) 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SKN ST. Polten face Austria Vienna (Am) in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SKN ST. Polten a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Austria Vienna (Am) 21%, so SKN ST. Polten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for SKN ST. Polten and 0.8 for Austria Vienna (Am) (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SKN ST. Polten are averaging 2.04 points per game versus 1.45 for Austria Vienna (Am).

SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Vienna (Am) Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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