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Austria Salzburg vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Austria Salzburg

PPG 1.45 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

First Vienna

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-112.4%0-27.6%0-33.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.7%1-113.2%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.7%2-17.0%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.0%3-12.5%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 35.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 0–1 12.4%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Salzburg1.1

First Vienna1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA SALZBURG · PPG 1.45

FIRST VIENNA · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Austria Salzburg (H) 36.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

First Vienna (A) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Salzburg face First Vienna in Austria - 2. Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Salzburg a 36% chance, the draw 28% and First Vienna 36%, so Austria Salzburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Austria Salzburg and 1.2 for First Vienna (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Salzburg are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.52 for First Vienna. This match finished 4-1.

Austria Salzburg vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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