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Kattaqurgon vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 14:30

Kattaqurgon

PPG 2.17 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Jayxun

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-16.9%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.7%1-110.6%1-23.0%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.4%2-18.2%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.4%3-14.2%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-12.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 17.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 25.8% — — —

BTTS 46.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.1%

H 57% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.7%

#2 2–0 14.4%

#3 0–0 12.1%

#4 1–1 10.6%

#5 2–1✓ 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kattaqurgon1.5

Jayxun0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KATTAQURGON · PPG 2.17

JAYXUN · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kattaqurgon (H) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jayxun (A) 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kattaqurgon face Jayxun in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kattaqurgon a 57% chance, the draw 25% and Jayxun 18%, so Kattaqurgon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kattaqurgon and 0.6 for Jayxun (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kattaqurgon are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.17 for Jayxun. This match finished 2-1.

Kattaqurgon vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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