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Taraz vs Turan Turkistan Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Matchday 18 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 13:00

Taraz

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Turan Turkistan

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.36, combined xG 2.41 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-112.5%0-28.6%0-34.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.2%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.7%2-16.5%2-24.5%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.6%3-12.2%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 43.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 81%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.1%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.0%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–2 8.8%

#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taraz1.0

Turan Turkistan1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TARAZ · PPG 2.00

TURAN TURKISTAN · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.36, combined xG 2.41 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Taraz (H) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Turan Turkistan (A) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Taraz face Turan Turkistan in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taraz a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Turan Turkistan 43%, so Turan Turkistan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Taraz and 1.4 for Turan Turkistan (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taraz are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.14 for Turan Turkistan.

Taraz vs Turan Turkistan Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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