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Turan Turkistan vs Astana II Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 15:00

Turan Turkistan

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Astana II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.34 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-14.3%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.8%1-19.1%1-23.5%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.4%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.8%3-16.8%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-15.9%4+-22.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.0% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 61.4% — — —

Away O1.5 18.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 63% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.4%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Turan Turkistan2.1

Astana II0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TURAN TURKISTAN · PPG 2.11

ASTANA II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.34 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Turan Turkistan (H) 63.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Astana II (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Turan Turkistan face Astana II in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Turan Turkistan a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Astana II 16%, so Turan Turkistan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Turan Turkistan and 0.8 for Astana II (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Turan Turkistan are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.00 for Astana II.

Turan Turkistan vs Astana II Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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