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Jaiyq vs Taraz Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 13:00

Jaiyq

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Taraz

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-111.8%0-25.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.0%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.0%2-17.6%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.0%3-12.9%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 26.9% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.4%

H 46% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 1–0 14.0%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jaiyq1.1

Taraz1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JAIYQ · PPG 1.71

TARAZ · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.10 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jaiyq (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Taraz (A) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaiyq face Taraz in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaiyq a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Taraz 27%, so Jaiyq are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jaiyq and 1.0 for Taraz (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaiyq are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.88 for Taraz.

Jaiyq vs Taraz Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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