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Tigre Res. vs Talleres Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00

Tigre Res.

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Talleres Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-114.2%0-28.5%0-33.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.1%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.2%2-16.2%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.6%3-11.9%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 66%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

A 42% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.9%

#3 0–1 14.2%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tigre Res.0.9

Talleres Córdoba Res.1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TIGRE RES. · PPG 1.36

TALLERES CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.26, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tigre Res. (H) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Talleres Córdoba Res. (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tigre Res. face Talleres Córdoba Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tigre Res. a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Talleres Córdoba Res. 42%, so Talleres Córdoba Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tigre Res. and 1.2 for Talleres Córdoba Res. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tigre Res. are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.90 for Talleres Córdoba Res..

Tigre Res. vs Talleres Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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