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Belgrano Córdoba Res. vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 18:00

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-13.9%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.4%1-18.5%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-19.3%2-23.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.8%3-16.8%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-16.1%4+-22.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.2% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -20.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.7 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.5%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 3–0 9.8%

#4 1–1 8.5%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belgrano Córdoba Res.2.2

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.80

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2 · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Belgrano Córdoba Res. (H) 64.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Belgrano Córdoba Res. face Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belgrano Córdoba Res. a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 15%, so Belgrano Córdoba Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Belgrano Córdoba Res. and 0.7 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belgrano Córdoba Res. are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.50 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2.

Belgrano Córdoba Res. vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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