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Rosario Central Res. vs Banfield Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 17:00

Rosario Central Res.

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

Banfield Res.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-18.0%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.7%1-111.7%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-18.7%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.1%3-14.3%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 47.8% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -20.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.8%

H 51% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.7%

#2 1–1 11.7%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 12.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosario Central Res.1.5

Banfield Res.0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSARIO CENTRAL RES. · PPG 1.45

BANFIELD RES. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rosario Central Res. (H) 51.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Banfield Res. (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosario Central Res. face Banfield Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosario Central Res. a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Banfield Res. 22%, so Rosario Central Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rosario Central Res. and 0.7 for Banfield Res. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosario Central Res. are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.00 for Banfield Res..

Rosario Central Res. vs Banfield Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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