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Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00

Argentinos Juniors Res.

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-111.9%0-24.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-112.7%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.7%2-16.8%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.4%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 31.8% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 66%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 1–0 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Argentinos Juniors Res.1.1

Gimnasia La Plata Res.0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS RES. · PPG 2.00

GIMNASIA LA PLATA RES. · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 1.76 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Argentinos Juniors Res. (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gimnasia La Plata Res. (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Argentinos Juniors Res. face Gimnasia La Plata Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Argentinos Juniors Res. a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Gimnasia La Plata Res. 22%, so Argentinos Juniors Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Argentinos Juniors Res. and 0.7 for Gimnasia La Plata Res. (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Argentinos Juniors Res. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.45 for Gimnasia La Plata Res..

Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions