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Sogdiana vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 16 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 14:00

Sogdiana

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Andijan

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.8%0-25.2%0-33.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-03.7%1-17.9%1-28.5%1-36.1%1-4+5.4%2 2-03.0%2-16.5%2-27.0%2-35.0%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.7%3-13.6%3-23.9%3-32.8%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.1%4+-22.3%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 45.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 46.5% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 47.6% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob64.3%

A 46% / xG 1.6-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sogdiana1.6

Andijan2.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 46.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOGDIANA · PPG 1.00

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.51 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Sogdiana (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Andijan (A) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sogdiana face Andijan in Uzbekistan - Super League on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sogdiana a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Andijan 46%, so Andijan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sogdiana and 2.2 for Andijan (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sogdiana are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Andijan.

Sogdiana vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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