Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Columbus Crew II vs New York RB II
Columbus Crew II vs New York RB II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 22:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 35 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 56% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%
Form & verdict
COLUMBUS CREW II · PPG 2.56
NEW YORK RB II · PPG 1.20
xG gap +1.02 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Columbus Crew II face New York RB II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Columbus Crew II a 56% chance, the draw 22% and New York RB II 22%, so Columbus Crew II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Columbus Crew II and 1.3 for New York RB II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Columbus Crew II are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 1.20 for New York RB II. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +44.4%. This match finished 1-2.